TO: Hospital Emergency Management Contacts FROM: John Wilgis, Vice President of Member and Corporate Services, FHA SUBJECT: Hurricane Elsa Update DATE: July 3, 2021 New information in red. LOCATION: 16.5N 70.3W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 75 miles per hour PRESENT MOVEMENT: West-northwest at 31 miles per hour MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 999 millibars (29.50 inches) Watches and Warnings There are no watches or warnings for Florida at this time. Discussion At 8:00 a.m., ET, the center of Hurricane Elsa was located near latitude 16.5 north, longitude 70.3 west. Elsa is moving very quickly toward the west-northwest near 31 miles per hour. A decrease in forward speed is expected later today and Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest Sunday night or Monday. On the forecast track, Elsa will move near the southern coast of Hispaniola later today and tonight and move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba on Sunday. By Monday, Elsa is expected to move across central and western Cuba and head toward the Florida Straits. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 miles per hour with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, but slow weakening is forecast on Sunday and Monday when Elsa is expected to be near or over Cuba. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles. The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 999 millibars (29.50 inches). There is an increasing risk of storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts beginning Monday in the Florida Keys and spreading northward along the Florida Peninsula through Tuesday. However, the forecast uncertainty remains larger than usual due to Elsa's potential interaction with the islands of Hispaniola and Cuba this weekend. Interests throughout Florida should monitor Elsa's progress and updates to the forecast. Other Information Live Infrared Radar Key Messages Tropical Storm Force Wind Arrival Times 5-Day Rainfall Estimates Forecast Models More information is available from the National Hurricane Center. Please monitor conditions from your local weather service for potential impacts to your community. [[UNSUBSCRIBELINK]] from all FHA e-communications. 306 East College Avenue | Tallahassee, FL 32301 | Website
More information is available from the National Hurricane Center. Please monitor conditions from your local weather service for potential impacts to your community.