TO: All Hospital Emergency Management Contacts FROM: John Wilgis, Vice President of Member and Corporate Services SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Fred Evening Update DATE: 8:00 p.m., ET, August 13, 2021 New information in red. Location: 22.5N 80.2W Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 miles per hour Present Movement: West at 12 miles per hour Minimum Central Pressure: 1013 millibars (29.92 Inches) Watches and Warnings A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for: The Florida Keys west of Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas Florida Bay A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for: The southwest coast of Florida from Englewood south and east to Ocean Reef A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in the Bahamas, Cuba, and the southern Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of Fred. Additional watches and warnings may be required for portions of these areas later today. Discussion At 8:00 p.m., ET, the center of Tropical Depression Fred was located near latitude 22.5 north, longitude 80.2 west. The depression is moving toward the west near 12 miles per hour. A west-northwestward motion is expected to begin overnight. A turn toward the northwest is expected on Saturday, and this general motion should continue through early Monday. On the forecast track, Fred is expected to continue moving near the north coast of central Cuba tonight, pass near or west of the lower Florida Keys on Saturday, and pass near or west of the west coast of the Florida peninsula Saturday night and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 miles per hour with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight. After that, slow strengthening is forecast, and Fred could become a tropical storm again on Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 millibars (29.92 inches). Hazards Affecting Land Rainfall: Today through Monday, 3 to 6 inches of rain is anticipated across the Keys, southern and central Florida north towards the Big Bend, with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. Heavy rainfall could lead to areal, urban, and small stream flooding, and potentially worsen ongoing minor to isolated moderate river flooding over northern Florida. Wind: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the warning area across the Florida Keys on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Florida beginning Saturday. Surf: Swells generated by Fred are expected to spread across portions of the Bahamas and the northern coast of Cuba through tonight. These swells could reach the Florida Keys and southern Florida by early Saturday and increase along the west coast of Florida Saturday night and Sunday. Tornadoes: There will be a risk of isolated tornadoes beginning Saturday afternoon over parts of central and south Florida. More information is available from the National Hurricane Center. Please monitor conditions from your local weather service for potential impacts to your community. [[UNSUBSCRIBELINK]] from all FHA e-communications. 306 East College Avenue | Tallahassee, FL 32301 | Website
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 miles per hour with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight. After that, slow strengthening is forecast, and Fred could become a tropical storm again on Saturday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 millibars (29.92 inches).
[[UNSUBSCRIBELINK]] from all FHA e-communications. 306 East College Avenue | Tallahassee, FL 32301 | Website