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​News

ARTICLE

Date ArticleType
8/17/2021 12:50:17 AM Emergency Management Notices

Tropical Storm Fred Evening Update - August 16, 2021


 
TO:
All Hospital Emergency Management Contacts
FROM:
John Wilgis, Vice President of Member and Corporate Services 
SUBJECT:
Tropical Storm Fred Evening Update
DATE:
August 16, 2021
 
 
New information in red. 
 
Tropical Storm Fred
 
Location: 30.6N 85.2W
Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 miles per hour
Present Movement: North-northeast at 10 miles per hour
Minimum Central Pressure: 999 millibars (29.50 Inches)

Watches and Warnings

No changes with this advisory.

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for coast of the Florida Panhandle from Indian Pass to Yankeetown.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend from Navarre to the Steinhatchee River.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected some-where within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for coast of the Florida Panhandle from the Alabama/Florida border to Navarre.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 hours.
 
Interests along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico from Alabama to the central Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of the remnants of Fred.  A Tropical Storm Warning will likely be required for portions of the Tropical Storm Watch area later this morning.
 
Discussion

At 8:00 p.m., ET, the center of Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 30.6 north, longitude 85.2 west.  Fred is moving toward the north-northeast near 10 miles per hour and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.  On the forecast track, Fred will move from western Georgia on Tuesday across the southern Appalachian Mountains to West Virginia by Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 miles per hour with higher gusts.  Rapid weakening is expected, and Fred should become a tropical depression by early Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center.  A wind gust of 55 miles per hour was recently reported at Marianna, Florida.  A wind gust of 46 miles per hour was observed at an observing site near Bainbridge, Georgia.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 millibars (29.50 inches).

Hazards Affecting Land
 
Rainfall: The system is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts:
  • Through Tuesday - The Florida Big Bend and Panhandle, 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum storm totals of 12 inches are expected.
Storm Surge: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide - 
  • Indian Pass, FL to Steinhatchee River, FL - 3-5 feet
  • Steinhatchee River, FL to Yankeetown, FL - 2-4 feet
  • AL/FL border to Indian Pass including Pensacola Bay, Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint Andrew Bay - 1-3 feet
  • Yankeetown, FL to Aripeka, FL - 1-3 feet
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves.  Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle and can vary greatly over short distances.
 
Wind: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area for the next few hours.
 
Surf: Swells generated by Fred are affecting the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle and could causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
 
Tornadoes: A few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across parts of the Florida Panhandle, southwest Georgia, and southeast Alabama.
 
More information is available from the National Hurricane Center.  Please monitor conditions from your local weather service for potential impacts to your community.
 
This is the last FHA notification alert for Tropical Storm Fred.
 

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