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​News

ARTICLE

Date ArticleType
8/25/2021 4:00:00 AM Emergency Management Notices

Tropical Weather Update - August 25, 2021


 
 
 
New information in red.

1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so from a tropical wave currently located over northwestern Colombia and the south-central Caribbean Sea.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  The disturbance is expected to move near or across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday, and move into the western Gulf of Mexico by Sunday where conditions could be favorable for additional development to occur.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours - medium (40 percent)
  • Formation chance through 5 days - high (80 percent)
2. A broad trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic about 800 miles southeast of Bermuda.  Only slow development of this system is expected during the next day or so due to unfavorable upper-level winds.  Afterwards, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while the system turns eastward over the central Atlantic.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours - low (30 percent)
  • Formation chance through 5 days - high (80 percent)
3. A tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development by this weekend.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours - low (20 percent)
  • Formation chance through 5 days - low (30 percent)
FHA is monitoring these systems closely.  More information is available from the National Hurricane Center.  Please monitor conditions from your local weather service for potential impacts to your community.
 

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